Unsupervised machine learning models reveal predictive clinical markers of glioblastoma patient survival using white blood cell counts prior to initiating chemoradiation

Abstract

Background Glioblastoma is a malignant brain tumor requiring careful clinical monitoring even after primary management. Personalized medicine has suggested the use of various molecular biomarkers as predictors of patient prognosis or factors utilized for clinical decision-making. However, the accessibility of such molecular testing poses a constraint for various institutes requiring identification of low-cost predictive biomarkers to ensure equitable care.

Methods We collected retrospective data from patients seen at Ohio State University, University of Mississippi, Barretos Cancer Hospital (Brazil), and FLENI (Argentina) who were managed for glioblastoma—amounting to 581 patient records documented using REDCap. Patients were evaluated using an unsupervised machine learning approach comprised of dimensionality reduction and eigenvector analysis to visualize the inter-relationship of collected clinical features.

Results We discovered that the serum white blood cell (WBC) count of a patient during baseline planning for treatment was predictive of overall survival with an over 6-month median survival difference between the upper and lower quartiles of WBC count. By utilizing an objective PD-L1 immunohistochemistry quantification algorithm, we were further able to identify an increase in PD-L1 expression in glioblastoma patients with high serum WBC counts.

Conclusions These findings suggest that in a subset of glioblastoma patients the incorporation of WBC count and PD-L1 expression in the brain tumor biopsy as simple biomarkers predicting glioblastoma patient survival. Moreover, machine learning models allow the distillation of complex clinical data sets to uncover novel and meaningful clinical relationships.